Flight Safety Information - October 21, 2024 No. 209 In This Issue : Incident: American B738 at Raleigh/Durham on Oct 18th 2024, cargo door open indication : Incident: American B738 at Austin on Oct 16th 2024, near collision with C182 : Incident: Delta B763 at Dakar on Oct 19th 2024, rejected takeoff due to technical incident : Incident: Easyjet Europe A320 at Southend on Oct 19th 2024, bird strike : After 70 Bomb Threats In 6 Days, Aviation Safety Body Meets Airline CEOs : Alaska Airlines flight makes emergency landing at PDX after bird strike : 1 injured after Spirit Airlines flight experiences turbulence on way to LAX : Boeing faces a new FAA review as a key supplier plans temporary furloughs due to labor strike : Honeywell Forecast Sees Continued Bizjet Industry Growth : Commercial Fleet 10-Year Forecast Shows Airbus Taking Prominence : The 9th Shanghai International Aerospace Technology and Equipment Exhibition 2025 : Calendar of Events Incident: American B738 at Raleigh/Durham on Oct 18th 2024, cargo door open indication An American Airlines Boeing 737-800, registration N804NN performing flight AA-1460 from Raleigh/Durham,NC to Chicago O'Hare,IL (USA), was climbing out of Raleigh's runway 05R when the crew stopped the climb at about 7500 feet reporting an open cargo door indication. The aircraft entered holds and returned to Raleigh/Durham for a safe landing on runway 05R about one hour after departure. The FAA reported: "American Airlines Flight 1460 returned safely to Raleigh-Durham International Airport in North Carolina around 9:30 a.m. local time on Friday, October 18, after the crew reported a possible open cargo door. The Boeing 737-800 was headed to Chicago O’Hare International Airport. The FAA will investigate." The aircraft remained on the ground for about 7 hours before returning to service. https://avherald.com/h?article=51f2e2fb&opt=0 Incident: American B738 at Austin on Oct 16th 2024, near collision with C182 An American Airlines Boeing 737-800, registration N800NN performing flight AA-2587 from Chicago O'Hare,IL to Austin,TX (USA) with 122 passengers and 6 crew, was on cross wind about to intercept the final visual approach for runway 36L when ATC reported unknown traffic at 11 o'clock in 5nm westbound. The crew reported the traffic in sight. Approach instructed AA-2587 to reduce speed to 170 KIAS to avoid the traffic going through their final approach. When Approach inquired whether they still had the high wings traffic in sight, the crew replied in the negative, approach cleared the flight to join final approach advising the traffic was now through their final approach path. A few seconds later, with alert sounds in the background, approach advised the traffic was now turning southbound and instructed the Boeing to continue turning right onto a heading of 030 and climb to 3000 feet. Approach instructed the next approach that there was a traffic right in the middle of their approach path and turned that flight off the approach, too. The Boeing crew advised they had seen a flash of the traffic that was heading straight towards them. The Boeing subsequently turned left for another downwind, rejoined the approach and landed without further incident on runway 36L about 10 minutes later. The FAA reported a Cessna 182 unintentionally entered the flight path of the American Airlines Boeing. A TCAS resolution advisory prompted the crew to initiate an escape maneouver. The aircraft came as close as 350 feet vertical and 800 feet horizontal separation. https://avherald.com/h?article=51f2e109&opt=0 Incident: Delta B763 at Dakar on Oct 19th 2024, rejected takeoff due to technical incident A Delta Airlines Boeing 767-300, registration N199DN performing flight DL-217 from Dakar (Senegal) to New York JFK,NY (USA) with 216 people on board, was accelerating for takeoff from Dakar's runway 19 when the crew rejected takeoff at high speed (about 150 knots over ground). The aircraft slowed safely and returned to the apron. The aircraft is still on the ground in Dakar about 29 hours after the rejected takeoff. Senegal's Ministry of Transport reported the aircraft made an emergency stop due to a technical incident. No injuries occurred. Senegal's CAA as well as Senegal's BEA are investigating the occurrence. https://avherald.com/h?article=51f2dc15&opt=0 Incident: Easyjet Europe A320 at Southend on Oct 19th 2024, bird strike An Easyjet Europe Airbus A320-200, registration OE-IVT performing flight U2-7008 from Southend,EN (UK) to Malaga,SP (Spain), was climbing out of Southend's runway 23 when the crew stopped the climb at 5000 feet following a bird strike and decided to divert to London Gatwick,EN (UK) for a safe landing on runway 26L about 15 minutes after departure. Ground observers reported very loud engine (CFM56) noises. The airline reported the aircraft suffered a bird strike shortly after takeoff. All passengers disembarked at Gatwick, a replacement aircraft and crew are being arranged. https://avherald.com/h?article=51f2295c&opt=0 After 70 Bomb Threats In 6 Days, Aviation Safety Body Meets Airline CEOs Over 30 flights received bomb threats on Saturday alone. New Delhi: With flights operated by Indian airlines receiving an unprecedented 70 bomb threats in six days, officials from aviation safety body Bureau of Civil Aviation Security (BCAS) met the chief executive officers (CEOs) of the airlines in New Delhi on Saturday. Officials said that at the meeting, held at the civil aviation ministry's office in Rajiv Gandhi Bhawan, the CEOs were asked to follow the standard operating procedure (SOP) for tackling the threats, which have been causing inconvenience to passengers and losses to carriers. They were also asked to keep all stakeholders informed about the threats and the action being taken. Over 30 bomb threats were made against flights operated by different airlines on Saturday alone. Officials said that, in the investigation so far, they have found that the IP (internet protocol) addresses from which some of the threats were issued this week were from London, Germany, Canada and the US. They did not, however, rule out the use of VPNs (virtual private networks) by the people who made the threats to hide their actual locations. The BCAS and aviation regulator Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), the officials said, are also expected to issue fresh guidelines for airlines to deal with bomb threats. The recent flurry of hoax calls and threats made through social media began on Monday and the threats have continued every day since then, causing several flights to be diverted or delayed. On Saturday, Vistara said five of its flights on international routes received security threats through social media while at least four IndiGo flights received security-related alerts. The other airlines whose flights received threats were Air India, Air India Express, Akasa Air, SpiceJet, Star Air and Alliance Air. In a statement, Akasa Air said, "Some of our flights operating on October 19, 2024, have received security alerts today. As per safety and security procedures, all passengers had to be deplaned as the local authorities followed necessary procedures. We request your understanding as our team on the ground did everything possible to reduce the inconvenience." A 17-year-old boy was taken into custody by the Mumbai Police on Wednesday for issuing threats to four flights on Monday, including three on international routes. Officials had said the teenager wanted to frame one of his friends, with whom he had a dispute over money. Over a dozen first information reports (FIRs) have been registered by the Mumbai Police and the Delhi Police in connection with the threats. Civil Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu had said on Thursday that initial investigations do not point to a conspiracy and that most of the calls had been "made by minors and pranksters". "We can't comment on a conspiracy but whatever little we have known, it (the threats) is coming from minors or some pranksters. For very little, petty things, they are trying to issue threats on social media or through phone calls. So these are isolated incidents, there is no kind of conspiracy we can comment on," he said. Mr Naidu had said steps are being taken to ensure that a "strict barrier is created for people trying to do these kinds of pranks" and that the civil aviation ministry has held meetings with airlines and security agencies as well. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/aviation-safety-body-calls-airline-ceos-for-meeting-to-discuss-situation-amid-unprecedented-bomb-threats-sources-6826450 Alaska Airlines flight makes emergency landing at PDX after bird strike An Alaska Airlines flight leaving Portland Sunday morning en route to Orlando was forced to make an emergency landing after striking a bird. The flight took off then landed safely about 8:10 a.m., according to Steve Johnson, a spokesperson for the Port of Portland. He said the incident was initially reported as a bird strike and that no injuries were reported. The plane was removed from service and is being inspected, according to Fox 12 News, which cited an Alaska Airlines spokesperson. Passengers and crew were rebooked on other flights. https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2024/10/alaska-airlines-flight-makes-emergency-landing-at-pdx-after-bird-strike.html 1 injured after Spirit Airlines flight experiences turbulence on way to LAX 1 injured after turbulence hits Spirit Airlines flight on way to LAXIt's unclear where the turbulence occurred, but Santa Ana winds in the region could have played a role. LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- One person was injured during turbulence on a Spirit Airlines flight into Los Angeles International Airport Friday morning. The L.A. Fire Department and medics responded to a call for six to eight injuries on the flight that was coming from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, but LAX officials say only one person suffered minor injuries. That person was treated at the gate, and operations returned to normal after. It is unclear where the turbulence occurred, but Santa Ana winds in the region could have played a role. Spirit has not yet returned a request for comment. https://abc7.com/post/spirit-airlines-flight-experiences-turbulence-lax-leaving-1-injured/15442784/ Boeing faces a new FAA review as a key supplier plans temporary furloughs due to labor strike Boeing’s biggest supplier of aircraft components said Friday that it will temporarily furlough 700 workers later this month, warning that it would have to resort to layoffs if a strike by Boeing machinists lasts beyond November. Spirit AeroSystems said Friday that starting Oct. 28, employees who build parts of Boeing 767s and 777s will be off the job for three weeks. A strike by about 33,000 Boeing workers in the Pacific Northwest that started Sept. 13 halted production of those planes and Boeing 737 Max jets. Boeing is in the process of buying Spirit for $4.7 billion to reduce outsourcing and to have more control over its supply chain. The furloughs at a key supplier were announced as Boeing faced a new review of its compliance with Federal Aviation Administration safety regulations. The FAA said it will examine key safety processes at Boeing over the next three months to make sure that they “result in timely, accurate safety-related information for FAA use.” An FAA spokesperson said the review was not triggered by any particular event but rather is part of the FAA’s oversight of safety culture at the huge aircraft maker. The FAA increased its scrutiny of the company after a panel blew off a Boeing Max during an Alaska Airlines flight in January. A Boeing spokesperson said Friday, “We continue to cooperate fully and transparently with the FAA. We support all actions that strengthen safety in aviation.” The inspector general of the Transportation Department said last week that weaknesses in FAA oversight are limiting its ability to find and fix problems at Boeing. The auditor said FAA has failed to ensure that Boeing and its suppliers make parts that meet engineering and design requirements and to investigate claims that Boeing puts improper pressure on employees who are authorized to conduct safety inspections. The FAA has closed only 14 of 34 reports of undue pressure, with the others remaining open for more than a year on average, according to the report. Meanwhile, there are no outward signs the strike at Boeing might end soon. The company said last week that it plans to lay off about 17,000 people in the coming months as the aerospace giant tries to deal with revenue losses from its idled assembly lines. Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su met this week with representatives of Boeing and the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, an indication of the Biden administration’s concern about the strike’s impact on the economy. Spirit AeroSystems spokesperson Joe Buccino said the temporary furloughs are part of a cost-cutting plan that includes a hiring freeze and restrictions on overtime work and travel. He said Spirit, based in Wichita, Kansas, has built up a large inventory of 767s and 777s that can’t be shipped to Boeing because of the strike, and Spirit doesn’t have room to store any more. “If the strike continues beyond November, financial pressures will require us to implement layoffs and additional furloughs,” Buccino said. https://apnews.com/article/boeing-faa-safety-review-b5bee514e8da2e3feccfd9a5e13564a4 Honeywell Forecast Sees Continued Bizjet Industry Growth The aerospace OEM released its annual report ahead of NBAA-BACE Honeywell Aerospace’s latest forecast calls for the delivery of 8,500 new business jets worth $280 billion over the next decade. The Arizona-based engine and avionics maker released the results from its 33rd annual Global Business Aviation Outlook on Sunday night on the eve of NBAA’s Business Aviation Convention and Exhibition in Las Vegas. The number of jet deliveries it expects in the 2032/2033 timeframe remains unchanged from last year’s prognostication, reaching the 900-per-year unit plateau for the first time since 2008. However, the value has increased slightly. To gather its results for the 10-year forecast, Honeywell surveyed 375 non-fractional operators representing 1,488 business aircraft worldwide. For the first half of the decade, purchase plans remained on par with those reported in last year's survey, indicating demand for new aircraft is stabilizing above pre-pandemic levels. The survey anticipates that large cabin jets will account for one-third of the delivery total and two-thirds of the revenue value over the next five years. “The business aviation industry is in a prolonged period of healthy growth, and we don’t see that positive trend changing any time soon,” said Heath Patrick, Honeywell Aerospace Technologies’ president for the Americas aftermarket. “Business aviation continues to see more users and, as a result, manufacturers are ramping up production to keep pace with growing demand, a trend we expect to continue for the foreseeable future.” For 2025, the forecast calls for deliveries to increase by 12% over this year’s anticipated total of 750 jets. “We were a little hampered between 2020 and 2023 because of supply chain constraints,” added Kevin Schwab, a systems engineer with Honeywell and lead analyst on this year’s survey. “We’re seeing some improvements in the supply chain, and that is enabling the OEMs to have these production rate increases.” Next year, the company predicts 16% more business jet deliveries than in pre-Covid 2019. In terms of where those aircraft will go over the next half-decade, North America is expected to receive two-thirds of the total, followed by 13% to Europe, 10% to Latin America, 7% to Asia Pacific, and the remaining 3% to the Middle East. The survey asked operators about their anticipated flight activity in 2025, and an overwhelming 90% indicated they expected to fly the same or more than they did this year, echoing last year’s results and indicating continued optimism in the post-Covid period. “The reduction in barriers to access business aviation in recent years, driven by the introduction of new shared access models, has enabled a persistent flow of new customers opting for business aviation alternatives for their travel needs,” the report stated. Honeywell noted an uptick in flight activity in Latin America, particularly in Brazil, which Schwab believes correlates to increased near-term aircraft purchase plans there. New to this year’s survey, Honeywell asked operators to rank their aircraft purchase drivers for the first time. “We had 37 different individual drivers of purchase decisions, and we bucketed those into six different categories,” explained Schwab. “About 82% of the operators said that performance is in their top three priorities when they go to buy a new jet, and 60% said that cost was in their top three,” Schwab added. Range was the overall individual purchase driver, according to the respondents, followed by direct operating cost, maximum payload, field performance, and speed. While the preowned aircraft market has cooled somewhat since the record low inventories of 2021 and 2022, Honeywell noted used jet values remain strong compared with those of the previous decade. The report predicts that while the inventory should continue to slowly rise, prices should remain stable. Operators in the survey noted they expect to rely more heavily on the pre-owned market to expand their fleets than in previous years. Sustainability was another topic touched on by the survey this year, with 85% indicating they view the acquisition of new, more fuel-efficient aircraft as the most effective method to reduce environmental impact. Among those respondents who indicated they are proactively looking to reduce their carbon footprint, 55% said the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) figures into their efforts. When the survey respondents were asked what they viewed as the top hurdles to industry adoption of SAF, cost was the most mentioned, followed by availability. Schwab told AIN he was surprised by operators still citing risks to aircraft reliability, lack of environmental impact, and lack of awareness as hurdles. While those weren’t at the top of the list, he suggested that there is still a great need for further industry education on the use and benefits of SAF. https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/business-aviation/2024-10-20/honeywell-forecast-sees-continued-bizjet-industry-growth Commercial Fleet 10-Year Forecast Shows Airbus Taking Prominence The new 2025 Aviation Week Commercial Fleet & MRO Forecast shows that more than 21,900 new commercial aircraft deliveries will take place globally over the 10-year 2025-34 forecast period. Narrowbody types will lead recovery efforts, with the Airbus A320neo family outpacing the Boeing 737 MAX family. Of all the new aircraft that are expected to be delivered between 2025 and 2034, 70% will be from these two aircraft families. In the twin aisle market segment, the 787 and A350 will see the largest numbers of shipments. Deliveries of over 11,200 new Airbus aircraft are expected over the forecast, accounting for 51% of the total. Boeing is expected to deliver more than 8,800 aircraft, representing a 40% share of total deliveries. The two largest manufacturers therefore account for 91% of aircraft deliveries globally over the forecast period. The forecast reveals a 3.1% CAGR fleet growth during the period, with 44,600 aircraft in service by 2033. Produced with independent projections and data by Aviation Week Intelligence Network’s internal forecasting teams, the forecast findings show MRO aftermarket demand growth producing nearly $1.4 trillion in MRO demand, after growing at a 3.2% CAGR. With increased utilization and longer-lived engines and airframes, engine shop visits are expected to yield $557.6 billion in demand, necessitating over 95,000 overhaul events over the decade. https://aviationweek.com/air-transport/aircraft-propulsion/commercial-fleet-10-year-forecast-shows-airbus-taking-prominence AIREXPO Shanghai China Announces: The 9th Shanghai International Aerospace Technology and Equipment Exposition 2025 Date: 30 September 2024 AIREXPO Shanghai is pleased to announce our 9th AirExpo Shanghai” June 11 to 13, 2025 at the Shanghai New International Expo Center, with the theme of "Focusing on the whole Civil Aviation Industry Communication and Information Exchange." The aviation industry is continually transforming the way people travel. Innovation and the ever-changing patterns of travelers create a challenge to the successful aviation business. With the rapidly changing technology and adapting to the needs of the market, continual education, training, and exposure to the new systems and processes are critical to commercial success. The Shanghai International Aerospace and Technology & Equipment Exhibition is the key to keeping up to date and expanding your knowledge of the industry. 9th AirExpo Shanghai” June 11 to 13, 2025 at the Shanghai New International Expo Center, with the theme of "Focusing on the whole Civil Aviation Industry Communication and Information Exchange." With a total area of 30,000 square meters (325,000 sq/ft), exhibitors, delegates, and visitors will encounter the full range of fields including complete aircraft on display, aviation manufacturing technology and equipment, aviation engineering services, aircraft interior refurbishments & completions, General Aviation airports, and the full range of the “low altitude” GA flying economy. Moreover, there will be a full series of activities including the following: · Commercial Aviation Conference, Low-altitude Economy Development Forum · Aviation Engineering and Services Summit · Advanced Manufacturing Technology and Equipment Forum · Aviation Finance and Leasing Forum We are inviting all industry exhibitors interested in booth or island space to request our exhibitor registration and application package via our email: airexpo@goldenexpo.com.cn Some prime space is still available and early exhibitors can take advantage of reduced space pricing prior to 22 November 2024. Interested visitors can advance register for show access at no cost by emailing your request at: airexpo@goldenexpo.com.cn Mr. Yang, General Manager of Golden Expo states that “this year’s event will feature airlines, MRO’s, manufacturers, and suppliers from around the world, displaying their products and providing you the opportunity to meet and discuss business opportunities, and exchange information important to all sectors of the aviation world”. Mark your calendars, book your exhibit space, and/or register to visit the AIREXPO in Shanghai China. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity to meet your customers, friends, and business associates, or make new contacts and explore more business opportunities. Blue skies and tailwinds await you at the 9th AirExpo Shanghai in 2025! http://en.airexpochina.com/ CALENDAR OF EVENTS • 2024 NBAA Business Aviation Convention & Exhibition - Oct. 22-24 (Vegas) • INTERNATIONAL AVIATION SAFETY SUMMIT - November 5 - 7, 2024 (Rio De Janeiro) • NATA’s Aviation Business Conference (ABC) - November 12-13,2024, Nashville, TN • The Gulf Flight Safety Association (GFSA) - 26/27 of November 2024; Manama, Bahrain • Sponsor the 2025 Fuzion Safety Conference! March 4 & 5, 2025 (Orlando) • Annual Women in Aviation International Conference, Gaylord Rockies Resort & Conference Center | Denver Colorado, March 27-29, 2025 • AIA Conference: The Aviation Insurance Association's annual conference in Orlando, Florida from April 25–28, 2025 • Sixth Edition of International Accident Investigation Forum, 21 to 23 May 2025, Singapore • The 9th Shanghai International Aerospace Technology and Equipment Exposition 2025; June 11 to 13, 2025 Curt Lewis